Why the G20’s Upcoming Summit in Osaka Must Deliver

By Anita Prakash
Director (Policy Relations), Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA)
Research associate, Global Governance Center, Graduate Institute

 

The spirit as well as the practice of global governance and multilateralism have suffered serious setbacks since 2015. The global financial crisis of 2008 brought home the strong message of the need for multidimensional development of all people. Sharing the benefits of globalization and its resulting prosperity and making growth inclusive became the byword for policy makers across the globe. At the G20 Summit in Hamburg in July 2017, leaders noted and forewarned against the global headwinds that are challenging policies that aim to promote openness and growth in the global economy. The leaders recognized that risks to a global outlook persist in the context of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, continued financial volatility, global excess capacity in industrial sectors undercutting domestic supply, the challenges faced by commodity exporters, and persistent low inflation. Against such a backdrop, G20 leaders reaffirmed that they stand ready to use all policy tools to foster confidence and achieve strong, sustainable, and balanced economic growth. For achieving this, cooperation among multilateral institutions is important.

Currently, the multilateral system of trade governance and cooperation for economic growth is under additional stress, induced mostly by the world’s two largest economies. The individual positions of USA and China on tariffs, disputes, and economic cooperation are overshadowing some multilateral governance systems. Trade facilitation measures, long considered the pathway for improved prosperity, are at risk of being delayed or even overlooked. This would be detrimental for developing and developed countries alike. The smaller and more economically vulnerable countries are at greater risk of being left behind.

The ongoing uncertainties created by Brexit in Europe, the withdrawal of the United States from the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership and the Paris Agreement, the stalemate in the World Trade Organization (WTO) over the appointment of judges to the WTO’s Appellate Body, and the tariff war between the US and China are still being assessed for their impact on regional investment and trade. These are further clouded by the rising support for trade restrictiveness, national security, and intellectual property rights issues.  In sum, global governance and multilateralism are under unprecedented strains.

In this context, the G20 meeting in Osaka in June has an imperative to bring out an inclusive strategy to resolve the tensions around global governance and forge a new multilateral consensus.

 

Strengthening Global Governance Mechanisms for Economic & Financial Cooperation

The Hamburg Summit in 2017 declared that mastering the challenges of our age and shaping an interconnected world is the common goal of the G20, which will act as the premier forum for international economic cooperation.  In 2018, the G20 agreed to take concrete actions to advance greater economic integration. It underlined the crucial role of the rules-based international trading system. In particular, it committed to working together with all WTO members to improve the functioning of the WTO and cooperate to ensure the effective and timely enforcement of trade rules and commitments as well as improve the organization’s negotiating, monitoring, and dispute settlement functions.

Yet 2019 has already witnessed an intensified and escalated trade dispute with increasing adverse effect on the global economy. What should be more worrying for the G20 leaders is that the disregard for consensus and rules in trade and economic cooperation have spilled over into other significant policy areas, such as agriculture, environment, sustainable development and cooperation in financial measures such as taxation. The participation  in the proceedings of the G20 of diverse economies and leading international organizations, such the United Nations, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, World Trade Organization, Financial Stability Board, and the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development is meant to create a policy impact on the G20 and ensure that its focus is truly global. A related example is the G20 Africa Partnership, a special vehicle of global governance and multilateralism to support African countries as well as the goals of the 2030 Agenda.

 

Supporting Global Governance & Multilateral Institutions Will Strengthen G20’s Mandate

As the chair of the G20 in 2019, Japan should have both the resolve and the voice to provide the multilateral and intergovernmental bodies with a greater and more granular understanding of domestic and regional concerns of Asia, Europe, North America and Latin America. When the top economies of the world have their sights away from the need for cooperation and consensus-building, Japan may well take the lead in bringing like-minded economies together for a feasible action plan for expediting the work on inclusive and sustainable growth, addressing important issues facing the agriculture sector, taking forward the commitments of the Paris Agreement, creating remedial growth plans for the digital economy, drawing contingency plans for transnational livestock diseases like the African Swine Fever,  and many other intergenerational issues which require global attention and action.  Japan enjoys the trust of all developing and developed economies which remain open to cooperation, actively seek consensus and promote a rule based multilateral order. The Osaka G20 summit is set to take place when the US-China acrimony overshadows equitable and balanced discussions in a multilateral setting. And trade rivalry between US and China can undermine international consensus, as witnessed in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) missing communique in November 2018 in Papua New Guinea. However, Japan is expected to walk the talk that Prime Minister Shinzo Abe made at the United Nations General Assembly in November 2018. He said:

“The goal of Japanese diplomacy, (which I conveyed to you to some extent today,) is to make the future of the world and the region something that is certain.”

The global and interconnected character of the challenges to the global economy calls for solutions that transcend national borders. Multilateralism itself requires an integrated approach that promotes the effective use of partnerships among multiple countries, regions, and regional institutions for resolving common economic and financial issues. The Osaka summit of the G20 will therefore be a test of member countries’ resolve, Japan’s leadership and multilateral organizations’ preparedness towards an action plan for restructuring global governance institutions and agreements.  This will also strengthen the very foundation on which the G20 is conceptualised – bringing people, places, and economies closer than before – for common goals of growth and prosperity.

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